Democrats have been trailing Republicans in generic polls since the beginning of the year, but a new poll of generic congressional candidates is a nightmare for Democrats. The GOP recovered two points on the Democrats this week, according to Rasmussen Reports, after slipping last week for a few days following the sad school shooting in Uvalde, Texas.
More at Breitbart News: The Republicans increased their lead to an eight-point margin. If the election were conducted “today,” 48% indicated they would vote for the generic Republican candidate, while only 40% said they would vote for the generic Democrat candidate.
Only 4% of those polled said they would vote for a new candidate, while 8% said they were undecided. The Republicans gained two points from last week’s poll, which showed the GOP with a 47 percent to 41 percent advantage, the closest the two parties have been all year, according to Rasmussen Reports. Every Friday, Rasmussen Reports updates their generic congressional ballot.
Rasmussen went on to say that in June 2018, around the time of then-President Donald Trump’s midterm election, when Democrats retook control of the House for the first time in eight years, Democrats had only a 4-point edge on the generic ballot, or half of what Republicans have now.
In addition, the pollster found that Democrats were just a single point higher in June 2018 than they were in May 2018. “Plus, as the November 2018 midterm election approached, the gaps between Democrats and Republicans narrowed – Republicans had 46 percent to 45 percent for Democrats,” Breitbart noted.
Another survey released in March predicted disaster for Democrats in the run-up to the midterm elections. Normally, the White House party loses seats in midterm elections, but if some recent polling is right, the Democrats are in for a political carnage in November.
According to Breitbart News, “the latest poll from the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) of 77 battleground congressional districts across the country showed that the Democrats are facing headwinds with voters as they are being blamed for record-high inflation, skyrocketing gas prices, and out-of-control spending.”
The story stated, “The NRCC’s battlefield study surveyed the 77 battleground congressional districts that might determine control of Congress following redistricting.” “The group polled these districts because they are now represented by the most “at-risk” Democrats,” according to Breitbart, “whose districts President Joe Biden won by barely five and a half points or less.”
According to the report, Biden’s declining support ratings boost Republicans on the general election ballot because people perceive Democrats are “out of touch” and “condescending.” Biden’s popularity rating in battleground districts is 15 points lower than the national average, with only 40% of people applauding him and 55% disapproving.
Seventeen percent of those who disapprove of Biden’s performance strongly disapprove. Only 30% of independents approve of Biden’s job performance as president, with 62 percent disapproving – a net -34 point drop from February 2021.
Biden’s popularity rating among Hispanic voters is a net minus ten, a 31-point decline from February 2021. Republicans are also leading by 4 points on the generic ballot, despite Biden’s willingness to win battleground seats by more than 5 points in November 2020, according to the NRCC.
Republicans have gained 7 points in the battleground poll during the last year, since February of 2021. In all, roughly 75% of swing voters in those districts believe Democrats are “out of touch” with and “condescending” to ordinary people.
“According to the survey, the cost of living, employment, and the economy are at the top of battleground voters’ worries, providing Republicans an advantage with these voters.” According to the Breitbart article, “46% of respondents responded that economic concerns are their primary concern.”
“Inflation and the cost of living should be the most critical problem for Biden and Congress to concentrate on,” the report stated, “while 15 percent are most concerned about employment and the economy.” “On the generic ballot, Republicans have a 24-point edge over Democrats among respondents most worried about the expense of living, and a 20-point advantage among those most concerned about employment and the economy,” it says.
